2025 Volume 89 Issue 2 Pages 162-163
Catheter ablation (CA) is now an established treatment for atrial fibrillation (AF) and has emerged as the first-line therapy for some selected patients.1 However, recurrence after CA remains an unsolved issue. Historically, AF recurrence was mainly due to reconnection of the pulmonary veins after pulmonary vein isolation (PVI), but the durability of PVI has improved with advances in technology,2–6 and the focus has shifted to the substrate of non-PV foci created by atrial structural and/or electrical remodeling as the cause of AF recurrence.
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Several preprocedural examinations, such as electrocardiography,7,8 echocardiography,9 and biomarkers,10,11 have been evaluated for their efficacy in predicting the recurrence of AF after CA (Figure). Regarding echocardiography, the left atrial dimension (LAD) and left atrial volume index (LAVI) are reported as simple but strong predictors for both the incidence and AF recurrence after PVI. When the AF duration (AF burden) is longer, the left atrium (LA) becomes larger, known as structural remodeling. Therefore, it is easy to assume that the recurrence rate of AF in patients with a remodeled larger LA would be high. On the other hand, evaluating the early phase of structural remodeling or other electrical remodeling in patients without a large LA has been challenging. Electrophysiologists use high-resolution mapping systems to confirm LA structural and electrical remodeling during CA. If the preprocedural evaluation is insufficient, we can sometimes experience a devastating “nightmare” during the procedure.
Predicting AF recurrence after PVI by comprehensive evaluation. AF, atrial fibrillation; BNP, B-type natriuretic peptide; HANP, human atrial natriuretic peptide; LAD, left atrial dimension; LASR, left atrial reservoir strain; LAVI, left atrial volume index; LV-GLS, left ventricular global longitudinal strain; PVI, pulmonary vein isolation.
LA strain analysis has recently been highlighted as a prognostic marker in several cardiovascular diseases.12 Regarding AF, reports have suggested that LA strain is a useful non-invasive modality to predict new-onset or newly diagnosed AF in patients with heart failure or cryptogenic stroke.13,14
In this issue of the Journal, Knappe et al.15 evaluate the association between pre-evaluated left atrial reservoir strain (LASR) and AF recurrence after PVI in a total of 132 patients who underwent de novo PVI between December 2017 and January 2019. In a multivariable Cox regression analysis, they found that decreasing LASR was associated with the recurrence of AF with a hazard ratio of 0.83, 95% confidence interval 0.73–0.93; P=0.001. After including other clinical variables with age, sex, and type of AF, LASR remained a significant factor for predicting the recurrence of AF after PVI. Moreover, the authors compared the LASR to the LA dimension, left ventricular global longitudinal strain (LV-GLS), and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) as predictive factors for AF recurrence, and found that LASR was the most predictive for AF recurrence. They concluded that LASR could be helpful in risk stratification regarding AF recurrence after PVI.
Because significant evidence of AF ablation as the rhythm control therapy has been reported, the case numbers undergoing catheter ablation have increased worldwide. However, there is still recurrence to some extent after PVI; therefore, risk stratification for recurrence after CA is essential in this field. This study is clinically meaningful for classifying patients with a high risk of AF recurrence after PVI. If patients are classified into a high-risk category by the preprocedural evaluation, additional ablation procedures beyond PVI would be considered, or a choice of medical therapy other than CA would be alternatively selected through decision-making among patients and doctors.
However, several limitations still exist in this study. Because evaluating LASR is not yet a generalized technique, it cannot be routinely evaluated in daily practice. Additionally, all patients in the study underwent echocardiography under sinus rhythm, and it would be challenging to evaluate the data under AF rhythm. Therefore, applying these results to all AF patients may not be possible. Thus the present report is a pilot study for predicting AF recurrence after PVI utilizing LASR, and the authors have already planned a multicenter study with more cases. More robust evidence with these parameters for exploring high-risk patients of AF recurrence after PVI is anticipated.
Another issue always exists after AF ablation; that is, detection of AF recurrence, especially in asymptomatic events. It could always be argued how to detect AF recurrence. In this study, only 24-hour Holter ECG at 12 months was performed for patients without symptoms; therefore, the recurrence rate could be underestimated. Detecting asymptomatic paroxysmal AF recurrence is still a challenge, even today. Those 2 uncertainties, the prediction and detection of AF recurrence after CA, are not entirely solved clinical questions; comprehensive evaluation using multimodalities and detailed follow-up with advanced technology will be germane to this challenging issue.
The authors declare no conflict of interest related to this work.