Performing Dynamic Modeling of Transport Modes Utilization Fraction in Urban Areas A Case of Bekasi City, Indonesia

抄録

The classical method of mode utilization prediction in urban scale commonly used the technique in the form of a mathematical model that is static. Modeling substances generally focused on efforts to find the best composition of mode utilization based on criteria that built from utility on each alternative mode. Relationships between variable that determine the utilization attractiveness of the mode treat as an exogenous component. As result the dynamic change of each determinant variable cannot automatically calculated in the model. Prediction of mode utilization fraction became constant and static. In the reality, in the context of urban dynamic, factors that influence the attractiveness of mode utilization like degree of road level of service, travel time, transport cost, etc. change in the high intensity. This modeling research tries to accommodate dynamic change in the determinant factors of the mode utilization attractiveness, especially road level of service factor, into mode utilization fraction model dynamically. The research question in this modeling research is how to build the model that can capturing the dynamics behavior of transport mode utilization. The methodology that used to answer the research question is system dynamics technique.