Journal of the Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies
Online ISSN : 1881-1124
ISSN-L : 1341-8521
SIMULATION AND MODELING
DEVELOPMENT OF A DYNAMIC MODEL FOR INVESTIGATING THE INTERACTION BETWEEN RURAL TRANSPORT AND DEVELOPMENT: A CASE OF SOUTHEAST SULAWESI, INDONESIA
Danang PARIKESITLa Ode Muhammad MAGRIBI
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2005 年 6 巻 p. 2747-2761

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抄録
A lack of tool in understanding the dynamic relation between rural transport intervention and development level has contributed to the ignorance of policy makers to develop a pro-poor investment. A dynamic model for an interaction between rural transportation, i.e. accessibility and mobility, and development was proposed with a simultaneous equation block using regression analysis and a Gauss-Seidel iteration procedure. Data were obtained from three districts in Southeast Sulawesi (Tinanggea, Poleang Timur, and Watubangga Districts), using 360 HH and 984 respondents. The equation sets were tested against 5 provinces in Indonesia to acquire nation-wide data on the link between rural transport and development. The result shows that rural transport has a significant impact on rural development indicators with a diminishing return principle. The role of rural transport intervention disappears as the mobility increase. This conclusion of the research can be use as a base for future investment prioritization and budget allocation.
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© 2005 Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies
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