抄録
Recent evidence indicates that the peak in world oil supply may arrive within the design life of present transport systems. The current transportation planning paradigm has no means for managing, building and operating under energy constraints. We present a new paradigm based on control systems theory to incorporate energy constraints into transportation planning. The systems paradigm focuses on integrating transportation, and activity systems dynamically constrained by the total amount of energy available. Our research has shown that this approach is new to the field, and we propose a formal method to design an Energy Constrained Activity-Transportation System (ECATS). A case study in Christchurch, New Zealand resulted in a transportation service using only renewable resources, and designed for maximum activity with reasonable economics. The analysis shows that an energy constrained activity transportation system would be designed and operated very differently compared with the current fossil fuelled system.
