Modelling the Relationship between Male and Female Pedestrian Accidents and Land Use Characteristics (Case Study : Newcastle upon Tyne, UK)

Abstract

This study investigates the relationship between accident location and land use patterm in the city of Newcastle upon Tyne, England. This paper distinguishes between males and females of working ages, between weekdays and weekends and between working and leisure time. Data from the the UK Census 2001 showed that most pedestrian journeys to work started and ended in the same ward (an administrative area of approximately 10km²). Accident data were all accidents involving pedestrians of working age during period between 1998 and 2007. Generalised Linear models were developed using the number of pedestrian accidents as response variables and census and land use data as predictors. Sensitivity analysis showed that an increase of 1% in the proportion of retail land use in a ward will, on average, lead to an increase of between 24% and 68% in the number of accidents involving pedestrians of working age.