Abstract
In order to develop the tool which contributes to decision of future maintenance and management, the technique of predicting the life of external finishing is built. However, it is not easy for construction, environment, material characteristics, an operating condition, and other complex factors to be contained in degradation of external finishing, to accumulate the degradation mechanism for every factor, and to predict the whole. So, in this research, the degradation situation of external finishing is grasped through real structure investigation, a degradation factor is quantified, and establishment of the life prediction technique of the building materials by the degradation simulation using a probability theory model is tried.