Complex processes in the survival of walleye pollock larvae and forecasting implications

抄録

The processes that establish the survival of walleye pollock larvae are complex. High frequency events during egg and larval life introduce noise to the dynamics of the population. Forecasts of recruitment must account for this complexity. Initial conditions impacting larval survival do not significantly account for variability in recruitment, but information on abundance near the prediction target are fairly accurate in forecasting year-class strength, following expectations from complexity theory.