地域エネルギー需要シミュレーションツールの開発に向けた地域の住宅群の電力消費推定モデルの構築と精度検証

抄録

In this study, we aim to build a simulation tool to contribute to the construction of the management methods of the new power supply and demand that targets the region. In this paper, as the first step of the tool construction, we developed a model to estimate the electric power daily load curves for the specified housing group with several hundreds to thousands of households in a particular area. By using this model, users can estimate the power consumption of any region in Japan according to the characteristics of the region, such as climate and the number of households. In addition, the estimation accuracy of the tool was verified using the statistical power measurement data and improved the estimation accuracy of the tool. The average annual energy consumption per household calculated by the tool was 16% larger than that calculated by the GDBL, but the correlation coefficient between the two was high at 0.76, indicating regional differences caused by differences in the number of households.