性・年代別自動車利用特性に基づく地方都市圏の自動車起源CO₂排出量推計と将来予測

抄録

This study aims to determine the factors causing automobile CO₂ emissions increase, and to make forecasts toward year 2020. Rapid aging and a sharp decrease in population are expected to reduce CO₂ emissions in local city areas. However, analysing three factors, periodical, aging, and cohort, it is estimated that population will decrease, yet increased car dependency among elderly men and women across all age groups will lead to a increase of automobile CO₂ emissions.