Abstracts of Annual Conference of Japan Society for Management Information
Annual Conference of Japan Society for Management Information 2004 Spring
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Bio-venture evaluation by the real options analysis
*Kazumasa Shindo
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Pages 19

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Abstract
It takes a biotechnology venture a long time to conduct research and development, and uncertainty regarding its success as an enterprise is high. Therefore, when a corporate evaluation is performed by the usual DCF method, an estimate of its current value may be too low and it may not be possible to make a suitable investment judgment. Corporate evaluation of such a biotechnology venture can be performed by using the real options analysis method to consider the required funds in each development stage and the probability of its success. For two cases, a drug discovery venture and a gene-analysis venture, corporate evaluation is performed using two techniques, the real options analysis method and the DCF method, and the effectiveness of the real options analysis method is discussed.
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© 2004 by Japan Society for Management Information
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