認知科学
Online ISSN : 1881-5995
Print ISSN : 1341-7924
ISSN-L : 1341-7924
特集-判断と意思決定の認知科学
多属性意思決定過程における決定方略の認知的努力と正確さ:
計算機シミュレーションによる行動意思決定論的検討
竹村 和久原口 僚平玉利 祐樹
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ジャーナル フリー

2015 年 22 巻 3 号 p. 368-388

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This paper examines two-stage multi-attribute decision strategies in different condi-
tions where numbers of alternatives, and attributes are varied. A Monte-Carlo com-
puter simulation using the concept of elementary information processes identified de-
cision strategies that approximate the accuracy of normative procedures while saving
cognitive effort in the two-stage decision making process. The elementary strategies
examined in the simulation were nine decision strategies: lexicographic, lexicographic
semi-order, elimination by aspect, conjunctive, disjunctive, weighted additive, equally
weighted additive, additive difference, and majority of confirming dimensions strategies.
Elementary information process and relative accuracy were computed for all combina-
tion of two decision strategies for two-phased decision making process. The result of
the computer simulation suggested that comparatively effortless and accurate heuristic
was the two-phased strategy that used lexicographic strategy to eliminate until a few
alternatives in the first stage and used weighted additive strategy in the second stage.
Lastly, theoretical and practical implications of this study were discussed.
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© 2015 日本認知科学会
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