北極圏スバルバール諸島における永久凍土地形の動態

抄録

 We review the progress of research on permafrost and periglacial dynamics over the last two decades and explore future periglacial landscapes in Svalbard, High Arctic. This area has been subjected to rapid air and ground warming at a rate of 0.1-0.2°C yr⁻¹, as well as simultaneous thawing of the top layer of permafrost at a rate of about 1 cm yr⁻¹ over the last two decades. Periglacial features studied include ice-wedge polygons, mudboils, sorted patterned ground, pingos, solifluction lobes, active-layer detachment slides, and rock glaciers. These landforms are concentrated within narrow alluvial plains and valley-side slopes but separated by geomorphological specifics and ground materials. Decadal-scale monitoring highlights climatic control of the morphology and dynamics of three landforms—ice-wedge polygons, mudboils, and rock glaciers—and the impact of long-term warming on their dynamics. Despite the location close to the southern limit of continuous permafrost, multiple cold spells in mid-winter activate thermal contraction cracking, which permits the growth of ice wedges. If such cold spells continue under a warmer climate, ice wedge could still grow below the deepening active layer. In a mudboil-small polygon landscape, seasonal frost heaving (or thaw settlement) of the central mound is coupled with closing (or opening) of the marginal crack. This movement would be maintained under a warmer climate and at a deeper active layer if the active layer is kept very humid. Although the contemporary cold climate is generally unfavorable for the growth of well-developed rock glaciers in Svalbard, slow permafrost creep at a rate of a few centimeters per year produces basal bulging of the valley-side talus slopes. The warming trend in the last decade has led to a steady acceleration of the movement. Further warming in the near future is expected to develop longer valley-side rock glaciers.