【基調講演】Session 1 中国で進むエネルギー構造転換の背景と展望

石炭依存からの脱却は続くか？

抄録

The purpose of the presentation is to investigate background and prospect of reducing dependence on coal in China’s energy structure. Conclusions are as follows. First, increase in coal price due to coal pricing institutional reform and erased cost competitiveness of coal is the most influential factor. Second, recent decline in coal price due to oversupply accelerated by China’s economy slowdown, coupled with recovery in cost competitiveness of coal is stimulating investment for coal-fired power plants again. Nonetheless, the momentum of increasing share of non-fossil energies supply is projected to be accelerated gradually by China’s commitment in COP21 and increasing share of service sector in economy is assumed to result in low energy demand growth. Therefore, reducing share of coal in China’s energy structure will continue in future, too, but the pace may slow down.