日本航海学会論文集
Online ISSN : 2187-3275
Print ISSN : 0388-7405
ISSN-L : 0388-7405
リアルタイム沿岸海上風予測システムの開発と検証
大澤 輝夫竹本 真大
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ジャーナル フリー

2009 年 120 巻 p. 131-136

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A real-time coastal sea surface wind forecasting system is developed and the system is automatically operated once a day for the eastern part of the Seto Inland Seas. The core part of the forecasting system is the mesoscale meteorological model MM5, which calculates 1.5km-resolution sea surface wind fields up to 2 days ahead. The performance is verified using in-situ wind measurements from a marine tower of Shirahama Oceanography Observatory. As a result, this system is found to have root mean square errors of less than 2.5m/s (just after initial time) to about 3m/s (48h ahead). These values correspond to 35 to 50% of the mean wind speed. If the error gets smaller with further improvements of the system in the future, this forecasting system will be able to play a large part in local weather routing.

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この記事はクリエイティブ・コモンズ [表示 - 非営利 - 改変禁止 4.0 国際]ライセンスの下に提供されています。
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/deed.ja
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