対策間の相互作用を考慮した防災対策行動予測モデルの提案

抄録

In this paper, we assumed that disaster measures were a behavior of the individual resident's selection and have some purposes, generally. So, we constructed the decision making models concerning multipurpose risks, and analyzed it. Concretely, we applied Analytic Hierarchy Process, Binary Logit Model and Mixed Logit Model and constructed differential equation models for selection for disaster measures in the long period. The result of this research will be able to be used for the real number forecast and the policy assessment for inner districts risk.