Seasonal variation of mean birth weight in Okinawa was examined by a traditional time-series analysis, which decomposed the variation in a series into trends, seasonal variations, other cyclic changes, and remaining irregular fluctuations, based on the data in Vital Statistics from January 1974 to December 1983.
The seasonal index of mean birth weight showed a peak in winter to early spring and a bottom in summer with statistical significance. Previous reports have revealed that the gestational period is the most important factor associated with birth weight. Therefore, we carried out the time series analysis for the mean gestational period but could not observe seasonal periodicity in it. On the other hand, mean birth weight at 40 gestational weeks was significantly lower in summer. These results suggest that factors other than the gestational period, such as infectious diseases, nutritional conditions and so on, might play important roles in seasonal variations of mean birth weight in Okinawa.
