抄録
Since the power output of offshore wind farms increases or decreases in proportion to the cube of wind speed, it is necessary to consider the detailed power output fluctuations in order to accurately assess the potential for their deployment. This study sets up about 2,400 hypothetical offshore wind power plants, and considers the three-hourly fluctuations of their capacity utilization rates in a global energy model to evaluate the installable feasibility of offshore wind power more precisely than before. The computational results suggest that the reduction of the cost of offshore wind power has a significant impact on the amount of installation, and that when the cost is reduced, the large-scale installation will be promoted mainly in shallow waters in the mid-latitude zone such as Europe and South America, and that the impact of output fluctuations on the grid is mitigated by hydrogen production (water electrolysis) for synthetic fuel production.
