マニラ首都圏における乗用車保有構造の分析

抄録

This paper carries out a rare analysis on urban car ownership in a developing nation. This is accomplished, by first constructing disaggregate models that estimate car ownership per household by incorporating data from questionnaires we distributed in metropolitan Manila in the Philippines. The validity of these models is then checked. One of these models, which include a variable expressing the level of LRT facility development, is checked by a back projection test containing 1980 HIS data. Finally, the relationship of car ownership and the level of LRT facility development is examined.