IN MAKING THE LONG-TERM PLAN OF LOOKING AFTER THE AGED PEOPLE IN THE LOCAL COMMUNITY. ESTIMATION OF FUTURE DEMAND AND SUPPLY OF THE NURSING SERVICES FOR THE AGED IS ONE OF THE MOST IMPORTANT TASKS. TO ESTIMATE THE NUMBER OF ELDERLY PEOPLE WHO NEED THE NURSING SER-VICES AND THE YOUNGER PEOPLE WHO CAN BE ENGAGED IN THE NURSING WORKS, A COMPUTER-USED MODEL WAS PRODUCED. IT CONSISTS OF THREE SUBMODELS, NAMELY, POPULATION MODEL, SERVICE DE-MAND MODEL AND SERVICE SUPPLY MODEL. USING THE MODEL, FUTURE DEMAND AND SUPPLY FOR THE NURSING SERVICES FOR THIRTY YEARS IN MACHIDA CITY WERE CALCULATED IN VARIETY OF CASES. THE MODEL PROVED TO BE EFFECTIVE AND NECESSARY IN MAKING THE COMMUNITY PLAN FOR THE AGED.
