Abstract
Various international trade models have proposed in the past. These models, however, do not classify the trade amount into commodity items and cannot be applied to developing countries because of large amount of data in use. This paper proposes a simplified econmetric model for trade forecasting which requires small number of macro-economic data sets available even in developing counties. Through the case study both in Japan and the United State, applicability of the model has confirmed, while a ploblem is still remained in the price index estimation from producers' price of commodity.
