Multi-agent simulation of Black Swan on high-tech innovation

Abstract

This paper reports the experiment of multi-agent simulation of the "Black Swan" appeared in the high-tech industry. The event does not occur only in rare case, event leading to catastrophic damage is called "Black Swan Events". And, the mutation that causes a "Black Swan event" is "Black Swan". Such "Black Swan" exists as a disruptive innovation in the high-tech industry.With the emergence of the Black Swan, there are cases where high-tech industry collapsed. Therefore, whether there is a countermeasure high-tech industry can take to the emergence of Black Swan. Based on the problem consciousness of them, has been developed (MAS) simple multi-agent simulation of this paper. The suggestions obtained from the simulation experiments are reported.