人工知能学会第二種研究会資料
Online ISSN : 2436-5556
Extreme Opinions on Social Media
三輪 宏太郎
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研究報告書・技術報告書 フリー

2020 年 2020 巻 FIN-025 号 p. 01-

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In this study, we analyze the information value of extreme opinions on Twitter that are identified by the most positive and negative Twitter sentiments for each firm. We find that these extreme opinions predict stock returns without subsequent reversals. In addition, they contain incremental information regarding firm fundamentals that are identified by subsequent revisions in analysts' earnings forecasts and target prices. Finally, we find that the return predictability is attributed to the fundamental information contained in the extreme tweets. Our analysis sheds light on the role of extreme opinions on social media.

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