土木学会論文集B1(水工学)
Online ISSN : 2185-467X
ISSN-L : 2185-467X
水工学論文集第58巻
知床を対象としたMRI-AGCM3.1Sを用いた栄養流出量の将来予測に向けて
丸谷 靖幸, 中山 恵介, 仲江川 敏之, 井上 徹教, 小俣 雅嗣, 石田 哲也, 駒井 克昭
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2014 年 70 巻 4 号 p. I_1219-I_1224

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The Shiretoko Peninsula which is located in the eastern part of Hokkaido, where nutrient circulataion between inland and the ocean is revealed to play a great role in ecological system. Because of the unique system, "Shiretoko" was registered as the World Natural Heritage. However, previous studies demonstrated that precipitation pattern has been affected by climate change, which may cause the change in the ecological system. Therefore, this study aims to evaluate nutrient flux from the inland to the ocean in the future. According to the previous studies, precipitation is consdered one of the most significant components controlling nutrient supply. Two bias correction techniques were applied by using the MRI-AGCM3.1S. As a result, it is revealed that the cdf correction techique shows better reproduction regarding the nutrient flux compared to the normal distribution correction technique.
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