2013 Volume 69 Issue 2 Pages 146-159
As economic growth has caused motorization and urban sprawl in Asian developing countries, it has become increasingly important to develop low-carbon transport systems at the early stage of their growth. However, in designing measures to realize such systems, the effects of measures are hardly able to be estimated in cities of Asian developing countries due to their limited data and uncertain futures. This study analyzes the potential impacts of early implementation of land-use transport measures on urban sprawl in a mega-city of Asian developing countries by setting a scenario of future changes in the levels of motorization and railway use based on Japan's experience and modeling the consequent changes in households' location in Bangkok. The results show that spatial distribution of changes in population density is significantly affected by combination patterns among railway development, land-use control and TOD and by their implementation timing.
