Abstract
As a basic step to consider the planning of school-commuting roads based on CPTED, this study proposes a model to describe the relationship between the crimes targeting junior high-school children and the influence factors given to them. Since the most of these crimes belongs to the opportunity crime, this model is based on the hypothesis that the encounter with target and the environmental factors around the school-commuting roads influence criminals.
As the result of the application to actual situations, the model provided reasonable predictions for distribution of likelihood of crime incidence according to the distance from school. In addition, we can quantify the influence of the encounter with the target and environmental factors given to the criminals.