Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. D3 (Infrastructure Planning and Management)
Online ISSN : 2185-6540
ISSN-L : 2185-6540
Paper (In Japanese)
A STOCHASTIC EVOLUTIONARY DYNAMICS OF POTENTIAL GAMES WITH CONTINUOUS AGENTS AND AN ESTIMATION METHOD OF THEIR STATIONARY DISTRIBUTIONS
Takeshi NAGAEDaijiro MIZUTANI
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2020 Volume 76 Issue 2 Pages 138-155

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Abstract

 In this study, a methodology is proposed to analyze stationary distributions of urban/transportation equilibrium models which would have multiple equilibria due to economies of scale, clearly considering dynamic uncertainty of systems of the models. First, in a framework of continuous time and continuous states, it is clarified that the stationary distribution has a Boltzmann type analytical solution when the urban/transportation equilibrium model can be classified into the potential game and the dynamics of the system follows a specific stochastic process. Second, a method is developed to estimate the stationary distributions with a Markov chain Monte Carlo method. Lastly, the proposed methodology is demonstrated by applying it to a problem to estimate stationary distributions of a spatial agglomeration model, and it is found that the stationary distributions can be estimated with the proposed methodology even if the model has large agents and its stationary distribution cannot be estimated with the existing methodologies.

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© 2020 Japan Society of Civil Engineers
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