主催: 一般社団法人日本太陽エネルギー学会
会議名: 2022年度（令和4年度）研究発表会
開催地: 福井県国際交流会館
開催日: 2022/11/10 - 2022/11/11
p. 317-320
Recently, an electric power system is operated based on a prediction value of photovoltaic systems. However, as the prediction value contains errors, it is important to control the power system adequately with considering the uncertainty of the prediction.
In this paper, we estimate the PV output of the eastern Japanese power system based on the prediction value of solar irradiance. The solar irradiance is predicted by Meso-scale Ensemble Prediction System (MEPS) that is a numerical weather prediction delivered by Japan Meteorological Agency. MEPS calculates 21 predictions with considering the uncertainties. We run 21 optimal power flow and analyze the optimized results such as the active power flow of transmission lines.
