持続可能社会に向けたバックキャスティング型ロードマップ設計支援手法

抄録

Companies and other organizations are required to incorporate Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) into their strategies. Roadmap has been widely used to visualize possible options for long-term strategic planning. The research challenge is how to support roadmap design for sustainable futures. One of the requirements for roadmap design for sustainability is to develop a sustainable social vision to be achieved and identify necessary technologies and policies. In this paper, we propose a method to design roadmap for sustainable futures in backcasting manner. Backcasting is to delineate a future vision and draw pathways backward from the vision. In the proposed method, we divide roadmap creation into two process: developing vision and developing pathways. We use a logic trees to develop a vision, while we develop pathways to connect the vision and the present in three steps: describing a vision and future situation, describing present situation, and describing ideas to connect the vision and the present. In a case study of sustainable manufacturing industry for Japan, two roadmaps were developed. Results show that the proposed method helped workshop participants generate ideas to connect sustainable visions and the present.