Eiyo To Shokuryo
Online ISSN : 1883-8863
ISSN-L : 0021-5376
Studies on Food Consumption Pattern (Part II)
Calculation Method for Forecast of Pattern Change
Sinpatiro TamuraToshio IshimaFumie OsawaSeiji Yoshikawa
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1970 Volume 23 Issue 9 Pages 606-609

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Abstract
One of the calculation methods of the future food consumption pattern was developed. A n dimensional pattern vector was thought to exist and move on the surface of the unit sphere in n dimensional space. A calculation method was studied on the next 2 assumptions, (1) a pattern moves on a straight line in the sphere surface, (2) infinite time is necessary to move from a boundary to another boundary of the first quadrant area.
Firstly, a locus of pattern moving is expressed as vectors using a vector OP
in which OA represents the present pattern, OB represents the past pattern and OP is a vector which has a right angle with vector OA. Secondly, the position of a future pattern is decided using the distance (radian) from the starting boundary point, according to the logistic curve equation,
in which y is a distance from the starting point, t is a time and K, ao and a1 are parameters. In this study, the distance from the starting point to the targent point is used as the K value.
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© Japanese Society of Nutrition and Food Science
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