Abstract
A preliminary study was performed on the effect of public policies for research promotion using data from the Ministry of Education and Science Technology Forecasts, a series of Delphi surveys on forecast experts conducted in an interval of five years. A comparison of the responses to the questions on "education and recruiting" and "expansion of R&D funding" in the 6th and 7th surveys for 37 topics in the field of information and communication suggested that the Second Phase of the Plan has been less successful in R&D funding than in expanding workforce. Similar comparisons should be made between the 8th and 9th surveys to evaluate the performance of the Third Phase of the Basic Plan.