抄録
The Ministry of Science and Technology of Japanese Government has been implementing technology forecasts every five years, since 1971. This article considers the characteristics of the data published in 1992. The study focuses on degrees of speciality, degrees of importance and forecasting realization time. In the field of life science, 84% of the researchers forecasted theoretical performances would be accomplished, while 16% of the researchers forecasted practical performances would be accomplished. On the other hand, in the energy, industry and constructive technology fields, over 80% of the researchers forecasted practical performance would be accomplished. Degrees of speciality and degrees of importance are estimated by the three levels of high, middle and low. On average, the degree of speciality of most researchers who answered the questionnaire was middle level while the average dgree of importance of every field was upper meddle level. However, life science, materials, information technology and electronics were estimated to have high degrees of importance. The realization time was forecasted to be from 2001 to 2010, in 79% of themes. Therefore we conclude that almost every researcher is looking ahead about 30 years.
