土木学会論文集B2(海岸工学)
Online ISSN : 1883-8944
Print ISSN : 1884-2399
ISSN-L : 1883-8944
海岸工学論文集第56巻
高分解能台風強度予測モデルの開発とその高精度化に関する検討
吉野 純吉田 尚弘岩本 学士村上 智一安田 孝志
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2009 年 65 巻 1 号 p. 1261-1265

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In order to develop a high-resolution, high-efficiency typhoon intensity forecasting model for coastal disaster prevention, several kinds of idealized experiments of a decaying typhoon are performed in this study using a mesoscale meteorological model PSU/NCAR MM5 with changing the parameters of typhoon environment. The developed typhoon intensity forecasting model shows considerable errors under the typhoon's decaying stage. A number of sensitivity experiments by using MM5 suggest that the vertical wind shear and land surface roughness length in typhoon environment strongly influence the typhoon intensity during the decaying stage, and these processes should be parameterized appropriately in the typhoon intensity forecasting model to provide better forecasts.

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© 2009 公益社団法人 土木学会
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