土木学会論文集B2(海岸工学)
Online ISSN : 1883-8944
Print ISSN : 1884-2399
ISSN-L : 1883-8944
日本の5海岸における過去の長期汀線変化特性と気候変動による将来の汀線変化予測
吉田 惇有働 恵子真野 明
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ジャーナル フリー

2012 年 68 巻 2 号 p. I_1246-I_1250

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This study investigates long term shoreline changes of Japanese five beaches and estimates effect of sea level rise due to future climate change on beaches. The long term shoreline changes were investigated at Sendai, Niigata, Kashiwazaki, Kochi, and Miyazaki using old maps. In all those areas, notable erosion occurred from 1950 to 1990 and shoreline change tended to be stable after 1990. The future forecasts estimated shoreline changes using Bruun rule for SRES A1B scenario considered about wave heights and subsidence, in addition to sea level rise. The results were shoreline retreat over 10 m in five beaches. Shoreline retreat over 10 m will cause harmful impacts on the coastal management in the future.

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© 2012 公益社団法人 土木学会
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