ENVIRONMENTAL SYSTEMS RESEARCH
Online ISSN : 1884-8125
Print ISSN : 1345-9597
ISSN-L : 1345-9597
DECISION-MAKING CRITERIA AND APPLICATIONS FOR DANGELOUS LEVEL OF GLOBAL WARMING
Kazunori NAKAJIMAYasuhisa HAYASHIYAMAHisa MORISUGIEiji OHNO
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2008 Volume 36 Pages 69-77

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Abstract
This study is intended to summarize some points for discussion on decision-making issues under uncertainty, and to apply some decision-making criteria to choice of climate stabilization policies in view of cost-benefit analysis with simulation analysis using the spatial dynamic optimization model.In the analysis of application of decision-making criteria to climate stabilization policy in the world, even if any criteria are adopted, the 650 ppm of CO2 concentration scenario is selected.On the other hands, in Japan, though the 650 ppm of CO2 concentration scenario is selected in most criteria, more pessimistic criteria make selection of more strict alternatives, the 550 ppm of CO2 concentration scenario.
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© by Japan Society of Civil Engineers
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