Proceedings of the Symposium on Global Environment
Online ISSN : 1884-8419
ISSN-L : 1347-510X
Risk Evaluation of Slope hazard Using Climate Projection Model
Seiki KAWAGOESo KAZAMAMasaki SAWAMOTO
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2008 Volume 16 Pages 27-33

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Abstract
Extreme precipitation is forecasted by climate projection model with effect of global warming. The slope hazards are caused by extreme precipitation in the future. It is necessary to evaluate higher dangerous regions by the spatialtemporal distribution for risk mitigation. We made the risk maps of the slope hazard in JAPAN by using climate projection model (MRI-RCM2OVer.2;SRES A2 and MIROC; SERES A 1B) and digital geographic information data. We evaluated slope hazard risks about present, Near-future climate and Future climate. The risk indexes are slope failure probability and economic damage on each land use. As a result, high risk areas are Hokkaido, Toyama pref, Ishikawa pref, Fukui pref and Hyogo pref because over 10billion economic damage extend due to climate change.
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© by Japan Society of Civil Engineers
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