水工学論文集
Online ISSN : 1884-9172
Print ISSN : 0916-7374
ISSN-L : 0916-7374
全球気候モデルにネスティングした地域気候モデルによる21世紀のアジアの水循環変動予測
大楽 浩司江守 正多野沢 徹
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ジャーナル フリー

2005 年 49 巻 p. 397-402

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We have developed a new regional climate model based on the Regional Atmospheric Modeling System (RAMS), and conducted present and future Asian regional climate simulations nested in the CCSR/NIES Atmospheric General Circulation Model (AGCM). The general simulated features of the AGCM and some regional phenomena such as orographic precipitation, which were notappeared in the outcome of the AGCM simulation, were successfully produced by the nested regionalclimate model. Annual mean precipitation, evapotranspiration and surface runoff are projected to increase in a lot of Asian regions. Those indicate faster and stronger hydrological cycles. There is growing apprehension that the risk of floods will increase under the global warming and the associated hydrological changes such as the intensification of convective precipitation in summer, the reduction of snow cover in winter, and earlier snow melting in spring.
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© 社団法人 土木学会
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