2019 Volume 49 Issue 2 Pages 253-268
This paper pays attention to the problem of measuring impact of the Great East Japan Earthquake on Industrial Structure Change. We then illustrate “the Great East Japan Earthquake Damege and Reconstruction Indexes”. This index is composed of 11 dates about production sector and industries sector including agriculture and tourism, life sector, and public investments sector. In addition, we use “Regional Domestic Expenditure Index （RDEI）”, which indicates monthly 4 series, consumption of households, private residential investment, private non-residential investment, public investment. And we compare impact of the Earthquake Disaster on Iwate Prefecture, Miyagi Prefecture, Fukushima Prefecture, and the surrounding prefectures. We show the industrial structure change before and after the disaster, and evaluate the recovery performance. The index can be useful in comparing the situation on other prefectures, because it is based on RDEI. And the index has significance that we can grasp the damage and reconstruction situation of other areas by selecting series based on the influence on the surrounding area.
The results of the analysis are summarized as follows. First, the Earthquake Damege and Reconstruction Indexes shows the monthly impact on each prefecture due to the disaster and the reconstruction situation, and the effects on the regional economies and industries.
Second, for the series constituting the Earthquake Damege and Reconstruction Indexes, the characteristics of the industry in the area and the ratio of employees are calculated and selected using the fundamental statistics of Japanese Prefecture. Therefore, we measuring impact of the Earthquake on industrial structure change for Japanese Prefecture.
Third, the Earthquake Damege and Reconstruction Indexes is useful as an indicator of the shock at the time of the earthquake disaster and the initial restoration situation. Furthermore, it can grasp the signs of the change in the industrial structure of the region by the reconstruction activities at an early stage. And the Indexes indicate starting to provide a regional disaster support toward a self-sustained recovery at a succeeding stage.
JEL Classifications:E32, R11, R15
