Articles
Analysis of Factors Influencing Migration to a Suburban City from a Regional Central City:Case of Kitahiroshima City
2019 Volume 49 Issue 2 Pages 269-290
Details
2019 Volume 49 Issue 2 Pages 269-290
Japan is already in transition towards a depopulating society. Especially, the population of Hokkaido Prefecture is forecasted to decline 1.38 million by 2045, a cutting-edge region of the depopulating society. Especially, suburban cites surrounding regional central cities have faced on ignore population decline in Hokkaido prefecture.
Under these circumstances, some municipalities in Hokkaido prefecture have implemented various policies correspond to depopulating issue. One way decrease depopulation many municipalities is to implement growth of the population policy by encouraging migration from other cities. However, important influential factors of migration have not been made explicit, and it is also not analyzed yet by a quantitatively method such as Cluster Analysis and Customer Satisfaction Analysis. Moreover, we usually have catch sight of subsidy policy for migration household in several municipalities, but relationship between an effect of increasing migration and subsidy level is not clear yet.
Based on these backgrounds, the aim of this paper is that propose an effective policy for increasing a immigrate population. This paper targets Kitahiroshima City, which is estimated to have a particularly high depopulating rate among suburban cities around Sapporo City, which is a representative of regional central city. This Kita-Hiroshima City already carried out a subsidy policy targets at families with small children.
We conducted an attitude survey for families with small children, and gathered data related to the attractiveness of the city, intention of migration to the city, household income, and distance between the current workplace to the city. Based on these datasets, we analyzed a characteristic of migration household by means of Cluster Analyses. Additionally, we analyzed important factors influencing factors for migration by means of Customer Satisfaction Analyses. Furthermore, we also analyzed a relationship between willingness to accept of migration to the city and subsidy level. Based on these analyses, we consider measures and policies regarding the inducement of migration to suburban cities.
JEL Classifications:R23, R28, R41
