Simulation Analysis by a Mathematical Model on Heavy Metal Pollution in the Rivers in the Barada Basin, Syria

抄録

Manufacturing industries are blooming rabidly in Barada Basin carrying high risk to environment and human health due to emitting huge amounts of heavy metals to environmental media, particularly rivers. Few studies show that concentrations of chromium, cadmium, and lead exceed the standards in down streams of rivers.
In this paper, by developing a mathematical model that describes the interrelation between the ecological and economic systems, we run simulation to estimate amount of Cr, Cd, Pb generate from manufacturing industries annually under current economic condition. The results show that highly concentrated of these contaminants are discharged to rivers annually, which should be regarded urging us to engaging in risk assessment of these metals on environment and human health in further studies.