GIS-理論と応用
Online ISSN : 2185-5633
Print ISSN : 1340-5381
ISSN-L : 1340-5381
研究・技術ノート
500mメッシュ単位の男女別5歳階級別の将来人口の推計
星田 侑久佐藤 俊明荻野 寛人浅田 理恵岡部 篤行
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2011 年 19 巻 1 号 p. 9-15

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This paper shows the projection of population by age and sex with 500m mesh. We modify the cohort-change rate method in the following four points; interpolating secret data, calculating cohort-change rate using the data in the neighborhood of each mesh, revising the formula for computation of cohort-change rate and adjusting subtotal value. We projected 500m mesh-based population for 2005 using the Japanese 500m mesh-based population census data in 1995 and 2000 and examined accuracy of the projected data by comparing it with the observed population in 2005. As a result, the coefficient of correlation between the observed value and the estimated value is over 0.99. This shows that the result is capable of projecting population at an acceptable level.

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© 2011 一般社団法人 地理情報システム学会
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