2018 年 84 巻 858 号 p. 17-00452
Generally in Japan, high skilled UT engineer performed examination and high reliability of examination results are achieved. However, it is not confirmed how high skill and actual probability of detection (POD). In the performance demonstration (PD) system in US, there are determined that the number of defect, minimum number of detection, number of unflawed area and allowable false detection, but it is not considered the defect size. In this study, based on the signal detection theory, the actual POD was estimated by the signal amplitude (defect size) and observed reflection position of field experience data. It was confirmed that the POD is decreased with a less than 3.2 mm depth. The estimated POD for each crack depth well matches the result of laboratory experience data. The probability of failure for piping system was calculated based on this estimated POD, it was lower than 10-7 in case of stress corrosion cracking (SCC) on low carbon stainless steel piping SCC, and it was lower than 10-3 in case of SCC on sensitized stainless steel 304. In order to keep the probability of failure is 10-3 or less, it is only necessary that the POD is 0.95 or greater for large crack as 3.2 mm depth or more. Based on these result, this paper proposed the acceptance criteria for qualification test as training graduation.
