The time of failure of a slope is forecasted using the basic equation regarding the time process in tertiary creep. First, the equation to forecast the time of slide (
tr) is derived. This equation is the same type as Saito's equation with respect to exp (
at). Here, a is the constant, and
t is time. Then, if the value of coefficient
a is assumed, the time of failure (
tr) can be forecasted using time (
t) with respect to three equal intervals
Δl in continuous displacement (
l). This method of slide forecasting is called the
a-
tr method and slide forecasting is made for some field
v-
t data. The error for this method is not much better than Saito's graphical analysis.
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