The occurrence of a new landslide in the sedimentary layer is so abrupt that the heavy rainfall involved at the moment seems largely responsible for it. This phenomenon, however, is really more attributable to various factors and occasion that have combined to produce a chain of shearing fissures (slide surface) in a weathered sedimentary layer. This process of forming a slide surface can help to predict the outbreak of a new landslide.
The movement of the earth crust accompanied by lateral earth pressure leads to the forming of the weathered sedimentary layer that contains many discontinuous fissures. This fissure belt is composed of the destructive part and the non-destructive part of 0.15-0.25 per unit length of the belt.
The non-destructive part is put under concentrated stress of thrust force which the pore water pressure has brought about. The action of failure being of creep failure, it is a function of elapsed. The parts still non-destructive, yielding to the pressure at length, burst forth into fresh fissures, and thus the whole range presents a stretch of shearing failure in an unbroken line, this is, a landslide surface.
In the process of the creep failure, the passive and active zones of ground surface continue either the rising or sinking motion for a period of several years. We can make a conclusion from this that the constant measurement of those deformations will make it possible to predict the occurrence of a new landslide.
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