日本建築学会構造系論文集
Online ISSN : 1881-8153
Print ISSN : 1340-4202
ISSN-L : 1340-4202
安全余裕の推定誤差の相関を考慮した鋼構造梁端部破壊確率のベイズ更新
日下 彰宏, 岡野 創, 中島 正愛
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ジャーナル フリー

2015 年 80 巻 712 号 p. 851-860

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 This paper is an extension of the previous work that proposed formulation for applying Bayesian updating for post-earthquake inspection of steel frames in which beam-to-column connections are potentially fractured. A new model is proposed so that it can take into consideration the correlation of errors in estimating the safety margin. Its feature is summarized as: (1) beam-to-column connections are configured into some groups, (2) the average error is divided into that related to the entire building and that peculiar to each group, and (3) Bayesian updating is applied only for that with the whole building and that with the group to which the inspected beam-to-column connection belongs. In addition of the formulation, illustrative examples show that by applying the proposed model, priority of connection in the inspection order can alter as the results of prior inspection and that the same conclusion on the probability of occurrence of hidden failure can be lead with a fewer number of inspection locations.
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© 2015 日本建築学会
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