日本建築学会構造系論文集
Online ISSN : 1881-8153
Print ISSN : 1340-4202
ISSN-L : 1340-4202
被災域の面積と空間的広がりに基づく地震ハザード解析
福島 誠一郎
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ジャーナル フリー

2026 年 91 巻 849 号 p. 1237-1244

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This study proposes a seismic hazard analysis method considering both affected area and spatial extent. Two indices, normalized affected area 𝛼 and spatial extent 𝜂, are introduced to characterize spatial damage patterns. A joint hazard framework is applied to evaluate the conditional distribution of 𝜂 given 𝛼 in a model region. Results show that 𝜂 effectively captures spatial variability of affected regions and that damage patterns differ even for the same affected area, particularly for smaller affected areas. The proposed method enables evaluation of diverse damage distributions. Future work includes incorporating exposure for risk-based assessment.

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