時系列変動にみる花き流通の現状と課題

抄録

Only a limited amount of data could be gathered on flower markets throughout the country. But we did obtain the "FLOWER DATA BOOK" published by the "Japan Flower Popularization Center" this past summer. Although the data was not so complete, it did enable us to analyze the flower market for the nation as a whole. This paper aims to clarify today's flower marketing with an analysis of time-series data. I used the "method of link-relatives", "analysis of variance" and "demand function" to achieve this end, the major conclusions were as follows: 1) According to the method of relatives, the fluctuation of wholesale prices in Tokyo is less than other regions. 2) Flowers used during the "Bukka season" tend to make demand quantity large. 3) The character of each flower as a commodity fluctuates widely with the price and the quantity. 4) We observed a large gap between wholesale prices and retail prices. From the results of comparison between each CPI, we observed a gap between cut flowers and other goods. 5) High expenditure elasticity was estimated, based upon the results of demand function.