2024 Volume 88 Issue 10 Pages 1610-1617
Background: Whether comprehensive risk assessment predicts post-referral outcome in patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) referred for lung transplantation (LT) in Japan is unknown.
Methods and Results: We retrospectively analyzed 52 PAH patients referred for LT. Risk status at referral was assessed using 3- and 4-strata models from the 2022 European Society of Cardiology and European Respiratory Society guidelines. The 3-strata model intermediate-risk group was further divided into 2 groups based on the median proportion of low-risk variables (modified risk assessment [MRA]). The primary outcome was post-referral mortality. During follow-up, 9 patients died and 13 patients underwent LT. There was no survival difference among 3-strata model groups. The 4-strata model classified 33, 16, and 3 patients as low intermediate, high intermediate, and high risk, respectively. The 4-strata model identified high-risk patients with a 1-year survival rate of 33%, but did not discriminate survival between the intermediate-risk groups. The MRA classified 15, 28, 8, and 1 patients as low, low intermediate, high intermediate, and high risk, respectively. High intermediate- or high-risk patients had worse survival (P<0.001), with 1- and 3-year survival rates of 64% and 34%, respectively. MRA high intermediate- or high-risk classification was associated with mortality (hazard ratio 12.780; 95% confidence interval 2.583–63.221; P=0.002).
Conclusions: Patients classified as high intermediate or high risk by the MRA after treatment should be referred for LT.
