The traffic demand analysis for urban railway networks in population declining society

抄録

Since Japan is facing a population declining society, the future rapid increase of traffic demand of urban railway network cannot be expected. In particular, this tendency with reducing the population might be obviously observed in Keihanshin area as western side of Japan. The study aims at pointing the direction of urban railway service in terms of urban public transport system. The change of recent railway traffic demand would be classified according to the urban activities and level of railway services. The essential factors would be summarized to discuss the sustainable development of the area. Furthermore, the estimation model is represented by the variables concerning with urban activities and level of railway service. Finally, the maintaining railway traffic demand would be discussed in the population declining society.