Demand Estimation of a New Light Rail Transit in a Tourist City Considering the Change in Population Distribution –A Case Study for Kanazawa City, Japan–

抄録

Many tourist cities in Asian countries developed or have plans to introduce a new mass transit system such as subway and light rail transit recently to reduce traffic jam and improve convenience of tourists, etc. In tourist cities, the fare of new mass transit lines can be low because tourists increase the demand of the lines compared to other cities. In this paper, we propose an estimation method of the impact of a new mass transit system and its fare level on population distribution in a city and demand of new lines considering the change in population distribution. We also develop an empirical model for Kanazawa city which is one of the famous historical tourist cities in Japan, and estimate the impact of developing a new light rail transit line and the fare level on population distribution and demand of the line.