抄録
High penetration of renewable energy may affect electric power system, because the variations in renewable energy power generations are affected by climate and relatively higher than those of conventional plants. Meanwhile, the future of global economic conditions and technological progress are very large uncertainties. It is difficult to find out the optimal solution based on current conditions. In this paper, an optimal power generation mix model is proposed, which can properly deal the essence of real conditions and carry out a number of simulations efficiently. In order to illustrate the proposed model, several parameter analysis cases, such as CO2 emission constraints, fuel prices, costs of PV and storage facilities, and differences by years are studied.